Thanks for the information, but what does it really mean?
Investors who trade gold bullion, silver bullion and other precious metals scrutinize the gold-to-silver ratio as a signal for the right time to buy or sell a particular metal.
When the ratio is high, the general consensus is that silver is favored. This is because, relative to the ratio, silver is somewhat cheap.
Conversely, a low ratio tends to favor gold and may be a signal it’s a good time to buy the yellow metal. Many large-scale, experienced investors may trade their silver for gold as the ratio drops.
Unfortunately, because the gold-to-silver ratio fluctuates so wildly, it can be difficult for novice or small-scale investors to read the signals and make a profit.
Typically, the gold-to-silver ratio serves as an impetus for diversifying holdings (experienced investors agree that diversity is good). If one investment flops, alternate investments in your portfolio pick up the slack – or losses.
Historically, what did the Gold-to-Silver Ratio look like?
Since 1687 – as far back as the records reach – the gold-to-silver ratio vacillated between roughly 14 and 100. Around 1900, the ratio steadied, remaining relatively flat.
Indeed, prior to 1900, the gold-to-silver ratio hovered around 16. This was likely because many countries were using gold- and silver-backed currencies. For instance, France and the United States (among others) assigned statutory limits on what the ratio could be.
Also, the U.S. Geological Survey estimates that there’s 17.5 times more silver in the Earth’s crust than gold, which could provide another explanation for the pre-1900 gold-to-silver ratio average.
Throughout the twentieth century though, the gold-to-silver ratio has averaged about 47-50 and has fluctuated wildly at times
What does this mean for the future?
Some experts predict the gold-to-silver ratio will return to its long-term, pre-1900 average of 16 to 1. Many factors are cited in this favorable claim. It’s worth noting however, among these experts are some of the most ardent advocates for silver investing.
In the end, in order for the ratio to return to its pre-1900 average, the price of silver would need to rise to approximately $105 per ounce. Likewise, if the ratio were to drop to its long-term average, silver prices would rise to about $61 per ounce.
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